Sunday, 28 July 2013

Monday 29th July

Decided to re-start the blog again as was taking up everyone's timelines with my reasoning for my bets. On to Monday.

Bobbyscott 9/2 - Windsor 20.00 - NAP 2nd at SP 7/4 :-(

Bobbyscot is Monday's best bet in my eyes at a very attractive price. Ryan Moore returned to the saddle last time when Bob hinted at his imminent return to form. He races off a 30lb lower mark than when trained abroad and despite not being the force of old, he is only a 6yo and still has a 0-75 like this well within his grasp. If the handbrake was fully released he would be a different class to these and reverting back to turf with Moore in the driving seat, I can't have this ex group rated horse beat.

Fathsta 7/1 - Wolverhampton 16.15 - NB WON

In his 99 races spanning six years, Fathsta has never run in as low a grade handicap as he does here. Yes, he did run in a seller last time and was a beaten favourite, odds on at that, which admittedly is off-putting. However I am more than happy to forgive him as 5f isn't his trip, shown by the fact he has never won over the minimum and the step up back to the ideal 6f is sure to suit. His return to the AW is also a massive positive, as he seems more at home on the artificial surface these days. The jockey is another plus as man of the moment SDS takes over the reigns and will ensure Fathsta gives his all. This lowly 0-75 grade is well within his grasp and despite his age catching up with him he can score here on his 100th outing at the races. On that note, even if he can only manage a place, you will profit backing the C and D winner e/w at what looks a huge price.

Also worth doing a double here as I am very confident with both. If you are more cautious then go e/w but going for the win double myself at 43/1.

Good Luck if you like the look of either of these or get on the double. Can't see these prices being around for long so get on early if you fancy them.

THT