Got a few I like tomorrow and usually do well on Monday's for some reason so very hopeful. They are all chancey and the nature of the runners means they will either come first or last I think. Anyway, will keep it short and sweet.
Divers is a lovely horse. I just don't think he likes chasing anymore. The lovely grey is back over hurdles today on only his second run for Donald McCain which I think will be the key to a return to form. The Cheltenham Festival race winner has run over hurdles only once this year where he finished 3rd over C and D behind Paul Nicholls' Salubrious who is now rated 153. Despite the rest of the competition looking weak that day, Divers today drops down in class into shallower waters and can run off 123, his lowest mark since late 2010. He has been hammered and pulled up in his three chases since his good hurdles run but he has won over this course and distance before. Also, his last run was after a 7 month break, so he was entitled to need the outing. 12/1 is a great price for an animal of his class and is a good ew fancy, despite some decent opposition.
Uprise drops down in class after showing a return to form last time, finishing 3rd at Kempton in a slightly better race. Handicapper has given him another crack off this mark and the Pivotal gelding should take advantage. He has only won one race; his last start for Michael Stoute at odds on last summer off a mark of 74. Since switching yards the horse has tumbled down the weights and now looks ready to strike off 63 in an uncompetitive race. This will be the first time the horse has run in a Class 6 race. Looks a very generous price at 8/1 and looks nailed on for a place at least imo.
Marciano is a bit of an unknown and is exactly why I mentioned him on Twitter before his last run where he ran a big race considering his odds. SP ended up being a bit shorter at about 25/1 but he looked the winner at one point before just not quite finding enough in the closing stages. He travelled very well and the step back to 6f is absolutely ideal. George Fenton who finished a neck in front of Marciano has since come out and won and with the step back in trip and run under his belt, the bay gelding by Pivotal (another one!) can outrun his huge price in what looks a fairly competitive event. The danger could be the Alan Bailey maiden back from break. Winston won on last two Bailey horses, was scheduled to ride Equitania too the other day but missed ride which would have made it last 3/3! (horse won - annoyingly as was in the tracker and didn't back!!)
Queen Aggie in the Wolves finale is a very interesting candidate. I backed a few times in summer as was so well handicapped but gave up (thankfully as she still hasnt won since!) However I am going back in today. She won her first two starts very impressively and promised to be something special beating some top horses in her early days. However since her Chester win over a year ago, things have gone backward and from once running off 94 in a listed event, she can today run off 72 in a Class 5 handicap. This horse is only three years old by the way. So why is she going to win this time? Well, she ran a very nice race last time on her first ever run over a mile. (been campaigned at 5-7f) She ran on really well late on last time (in a better race) and over the extended mile at Wolverhampton this time, being unexposed at 1m+, she can get back to winning ways off the same mark in this, the weakest handicap she has ever contested. One final penny for your thoughts. Historic form means next to nothing but as a matter of interest she once finished just a length behind Oaks heroine Talent...
14.20 Divers 12/1 e/w
15.30 Uprise 8/1 e/w
15.40 Marciano 14/1 e/w
17.10 Queen Aggie 9/1 ew
Backed all as singles, more on the win doubles and a 50p e/w Lucky 15 paying £13769 at best prices.
Am confident in all of them, if you pushed me for a NAP I would say the filly. In terms of value, Marciano is massively overpriced, but they are all far bigger that they ought to be, in my opinion at least!
Good Luck if you play, as I said, all quite chancey and think will either finish first or last, but if on a going day and we get a bit of luck, could be a day to remember.
**(Also backed Munsarim as backed last time and interesting turned out so quickly - didn't see it was running till looked through Twitter! @PTMAHON made it a mexbet too which is always a good thing! Runs in the 16.40 Wolves - 16/1 e/w single)**
THT
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