Sunday, 12 May 2013

Monday 13th May

Shocking week last week, struggled for winners and couldn't get any momentum and some bad luck thrown in for good measure. Today is a new day and a new week and will hopefully come back to form!

RED PALADIN won very gamely on his reappearance from a nine month break under a good ride from Amy Ryan. The pair team up again in a bigger field with the ground to suit perfectly. These races seem somewhat a lottery and RP will need more though he is open to big improvement as he will have come on a bunch for the run last time and can go close here. With bookies paying 4 places and this horse priced up at 9/1, you need to get on quick.

GRANDORIO won well enough last week to suggest he may not have finished winning yet. His in form trainer has sent him back out again before the handicapper penalises him and there looks to be nothing in his way on Monday; 2/1 may look huge come the off as he was merely pushed out last time when he scored with consummate ease.

APACHE GLORY is now 11lb higher than her first win three starts back. She has won two more since then, most impressively at 10f (today's trip) and can go in again on Monday. Andrea Atzeni makes the trip to Doncaster for just this one ride and as she has won off this mark and higher before, her winning run may yet continue. Despite only winning by a narrow margin last time she made up a ton of ground late on to cut them all down late and the extra furlong today will suit her just right, very fair price too, though this race is competitive.

Robert Tart's valuable 5lb claim means BRYNFORD runs off a 1lb lower mark than when he won cosily over track and trip two starts back so has to be right there on Monday. He was upped in trip after that running very well finishing only a couple off the pace in third and the step back today will suit him perfectly. The danger might be well-related Moma Lee should the money talk as she could be potentially very well treated. 9/2 is on the shorter side of what I had hoped but still looks worth the bet. (Moma Lee won)

As you know, backing a debutant is something I rarely do and usually advise against. However the in-form trainer Ralph Beckett has one tomorrow with a pedigree that screams speed. WEISSE SOCKEN which is German for White Socks is by Acclamation out of a 5f two year old winner (RPR 96) and already holds a Super Sprint entry meaning this one must be flying at home. Hannon's horse will be well supported and could well win but I fancy Beckett, who is operating at an impressive £1 level stakes profit of £65 this season, will have this one primed to perfection and in my eyes is very much the one to beat, could be a nice price too, will wait till prices released in the morning, but anything over 2/1 looks good to me. << The big danger is now a non runner and I have decided to back WS at 11/10 as I can't see past him now.


Singles:

15.15 Doncaster - Red Paladin @ 9/1 e/w 2nd
15.50 Doncaster - Grandorio @ 2/1 3rd
16.00 Wolverhampton - Brynford @ 9/2 7th
17.00 Doncaster - Apache Glory @ 11/4 2nd
17.50 Windsor - Weisse Socken @ 11/10 2nd


Double:

Grandorio/Apache Glory @ 10/1


Lucky 15:

Apache Glory, Weisse Socken, Grandorio, Brynford.

Pays £420 for a £1 win stake.


Good Luck all.

THT

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