Monday, 6 May 2013

Tuesday 7th May

Decent day on Monday, though only small stakes so not too much to shout about. However, always nice to lad some big priced winners and 6/1, 16/1 and 16/1 shots all went in for us. On to Tuesday where again I advise smallish stakes as nothing I would back with 100% confidence, though a few look overpriced and worth a bet.

Annoyed I missed the early price but DANZOE is fantastic value in the 14.50 Yarmouth at 7/1. His trainer runs three in this race and judged on jockey bookings he looks to be the second best chance of the yard as Dan's regular rider prefers Speedyfix at a shortish price. He is the one to beat after some very consistent performances recently though the seconds are mounting up and Darren Egan is well worth his small yet valuable 3lb claim. Danzoe has to be respected back on turf and I had him around 3/1, 4/1 in my mind so seeing that I had missed 8/1 was frustrating but at 7/1 he is worth a decent e/w bet and has to be going close. He is also a C and D winner and has won 2 of his last 3 on turf. This race doesn't look to strong either and he goes well enough fresh and won after a similar length break before and looks nailed on for a place at least.

ORPSIE BOY goes in the 19.10 at Catterick and while he isn't the force of old he looks a little overpriced tomorrow at 12/1. He has won off a mark of 96 before and is now back on his last winning mark which incidentally was over today's course and distance. He is back from a break today and goes well fresh, as shown by his win on reappearance after seven months off. He can be forgiven his last run on soft ground that didn't suit him, at the end of a long season and has to have every chance of going close today. I would have taken around 7/1 - 8/1 on this one and 12/1 looks a lovely little price.

RED LARKSPUR goes in a handicap tomorrow at Kempton (16.40) and looks to have every chance of following up. She won here on his only visit, in only his second ever run hacking up winning as she liked. She was then unsuccessfully tried in higher grades before she was returned to today's level last time when winning at odds on, merely shaken up to go clear in the first time hood and she had plenty left in the tank suggesting his penalty won't defy her from going in again at this grade though there are a few dangers off decent marks. 9/4 looks a great price for this one and will likely go off shorter.

MAGIQUE is an interesting prospect stepping up in trip for his handicap debut. He won with any amount in hand last time eased into the race by Shane Kelly with a typical cool as you like ride. William Buick takes over today for his only ride on Tuesday and she looks set to win at a nice price too. Annoyed to find she was 3/1 earlier but still happy with 2/1 and she will go into a double with our other short priced pick.

The 15.50 at Kempton is a very competitive little race though three stand out for me. Jonnie Skull ran out an easy winner last time under a great Fallon ride and steps down in trip slightly today, Katy's Secret is dangerously well treated and a good price too. Athletic is a model of consistency and is on a lower mark on turf than his recent 22122 form on the A/W. He has also rejoined his former trainer and will go very well under Robert Tart and may be worth a bet in himself. However I have decided to put these three in a multi tri-cast any order bet just tiny stakes as today's fun bet though the Botti newcomer could be anything here in UK.

Singles:

14.50 Yarmouth - Danzoe @ 8/1 e/w WON
15.50 Yarmouth - Athletic @ 8/1 e/w
16.10 Kempton - Magique @ 2/1
16.40 Kempton - Red Larkspur @ 9/4
19.10 Catterick - Orpsie Boy @ 12/1 e/w


Doubles:

Red Larkspur/Magique @ 9/1

Danzoe/Orpsie Boy @ 103/1 e/w


Fun bet:

Any order tri-cast in the 15.50 Yarmouth of Katy's Secret, Athletic and Jonnie Skull.


Good Luck.

THT

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