Morning all. What a shame Doncaster and Newbury were called off, really fancied a few of them, hopefully it will be re-scheduled soon enough! Yesterday only one meeting took place in the UK on the fibresand at Southwell. Wasn't going to bet there, like a few people on twitter and ended up backing horses I wasn't 100% confident in as the other meetings were abandoned. Only small stakes though as it is known as a bit of a lottery over there! Anyway, excuse the fact there are no proper write ups, need some sleep after staying up till the early hours only to be disappointed in the morning yesterday and have to be up very early on Sunday morning for work! Decided it would be easiest to do a little preview on each race and will probably do it like this from now on with all my bets included and our NAP, NB and best value each way shout (IWAC) listed at the bottom.
Lingfield 13.40 - Noverre to Go really should be winning this but at odds on no bet for us in this one.
Lingfield 14.10 - Who knows?! Haha.
Lingfield 14.40 - Are people actually going to be backing Balatina at odds on?! Marmot Bay looks the likely winner for me. Will probably have a puny stake but 10/3 looks about right.
Lingfield 15.10 - Competitive little race. I like Beat Route and Llamadas is definitely overpriced at 7/1. Still unsure whether to back both either or neither. Might have a small win bet on both.
Lingfield 15.40 - Feature race and Super Say gets my vote at a very appealing 12/1. Has a great chance and a place looks likely imo.
Lingfield 16.10 - Al's Memory for me at the prices. David Evans has two runners, Kirby on board a rival, Cathy Gannon on Al. This worries me as it is possible one will try and set the race up for the other, which way who knows? 6/1 looks worth a decent size e/w bet though. Rowe Park also gets a small amount of my money e/w as he always runs his race and 18/1 is generous.
Lingfield 16.40 - Bit of a desperate race but I have had a puny each way stake on Sunny Bank as he is overpriced.
Lingfield 17.10 - Total Obsession sprang a surprise over track and journey two starts back beating a smart horse at this level. The jockey used his whip barely if at all and to the naked eye it looks as if the horse was just pushed out. He quickened impressively to cut them down late on. LTO he was unlucky not to win as he had to switch outside while gathering momentum down the inner but stayed on better than anything to finish a length off the pace in a tougher race than both his win and the race today. In fact today's race looks the easiest of the three. Really like this one and can only see Teth causing anything like a problem. 3/1. My NAP of the day I think.
Wincanton 14.25 - The favourite is the most likely winner imo but no bet.
Wincanton 14.55 - See this one between Don Pooleoni and Little Jimmy. The latter likely to complete the four timer with the former the one to chase him home. No bet for me.
Wincanton 15.25 - Musical Wedge is a horse I like but due to a few others being well handicapped I am likely to avoid betting.
Wincanton 15.55 - Nice little race, all with a chance. Had a small flutter on Benbane Head at 10/1 e/w as I like the yard and the horse has experience in higher quality races than this. Big ask to win this, but very good place claims imo.
Wincanton 16.25 - Reginaldho can be forgiven his last run imo and a chance is taken he will go well. At the prices he is a very solid each way claim and would surprise no one if he came out on top.
Wincanton 16.55 - Can't see past the Henderson horse but not betting at that price.
NAP: Ling 17.10 - Total Obsession @ 10/3 - 3pt win
NB: Ling 16.10 - Al's Memory @ 6/1 - 2pts each way
IWAC: Ling 15.40 - Super Say @ 12/1 - 1pt e/w
(All other bets mentioned will be staked at 0.5pts e/w or 1pt win dependant on the prices)
As you can see from the prices of our NAP and NB we tip value. No odds on jollies here! Can't believe tipsters charge people then just tip all the shorties but there you go. For those interested our NAP and NB double pays out at a whopping 29/1. Minimal stakes though on the double as the David Evans jockey situation worries me but hopefully Al will come out on top! Might have an each way treble on those three as it looks a great price at almost 400/1 with Paddy Power at time of writing! Good Luck everyone, Sunday is notoriously a bogey day for myself on the horses but that has to change sooner or later!
THT
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