Surprise surprise an absolute shocker yesterday after a huge day on Monday, always happens. However this one was all the more disappointing as the rides on both our NAP and NB were appalling. I am not a sore loser by any means but it doesn't make sense that Lily Edge was ridden prominently when every race she has come off the back, the massive drift from 5/2 to 7/1 just makes you question it more, as someone mentioned to me on Twitter, it was ran to lose and big time. This goes on all the time all over the country, you just have to hope you don't end up on the wrong side as we did today, but there is nothing we could have done.
I was arguably more frustrated with the ride on our NAP as I have never been a fan of Hayley Turner and mentioned that when explaining the selection and for her to give a ride like that was shocking. I have seen it with her before, even the other day on odds on chance Balatina, she just gives up. Ihtikar could have won that race in my opinion. Basically Hayley just gave him a light slap on the neck on the turn, that was it. A little slap then just pushed him out for the rest of the race when he had every chance, didn't pick up the whip at all. A young inexperienced horse needs a disciplined and professional jockey on board and the jockey has to make the horse know why it is there, to run as fast as he can. I was very angry at the ride and will never back any of her mounts again. Call me a sore loser but I said before the race I don't rate her and to be honest I was foolish for picking one of her rides in the first place.
All that said our other three picks weren't good enough as Desert Donkey looked the winner but the winning post came too late and two fast finishers had already flashed by. He beat the odds on favourite that I was never convinced by pretty well though so he can take credit from the race, a step back in trip may suit him or coming off the pace a bit more rather than riding prominently. Wordiness had a little bit of bad luck in running and to be honest the ride was a bit under par from Robert Tart but the horse wasn't good enough anyway as he went down by a short head, which summed our day up nicely.
However we remain defiant as ever and hope to bounce back today. Four meetings to get stuck into, so here goes:
Lingfield 13.30 - Athletic is the warm favourite for this one but Kempton is more his track and he usually runs over further than this. However he did try 7f a few starts back and won, more comfortably than the winning margin suggests too. However what was he beating? Not much. We prefer Tenbridge who ran a big race last time and is 3lb lower today. He was 50/1 last time over at Wolves, a more similar track to Lingfield than Kempton. The winner, Maggie Pink ran a decent race last time coming 2nd to Putin, okay maybe that isn't so great! However, at 3lb lower and in a weaker race, I think Tenbridge will be hard to beat today at a decent enough price.
Lingfield 14.30 - Homeboy is in the form of his life and loves it at Lingers. This race looks weaker than his recent challenges and he gave Noverre to Go a fright the other day when he got within a length staying on better than the rest. Short, but can't see past him, he should win with something in hand and will go into a multiple or two.
Lingfield 16.05 - Dorothy's Dancing steps up a grade but with Ned Curtis's claim taken into account she is running off a mark of 60 today. She won last time off a mark of 65 but faces higher rated rivals today. You get the impression that the trainer is trying to get one more big run out of her today before the handicapper catches up but in a competitive race she won't be having any of my money on her, though looks the likely winner.
Lingfield 17.15 - Kent Ragstone won as she liked last time beating the field by 6 lenghts or more. Then again what was she racing against really? The fav pulled up injured and the rest were uninspiring. However, today's race doesn't look like it will be beyond her and she will have learned a lot from last week's run. I wouldn't be surprised if she was beaten but then equally I wouldn't be surprised if she bolted up again today. At 4/7, even in a multiple she doesn't look good value for a horse with only one run under her belt.
Southwell 15.10 - Caldercruix has the strongest form by a mile and I am surprised he isn't shorter. If he runs up to the standard of his last run he should be way too good for these. Flying Pickets is overpriced and looks a danger so an e/w on him at 18/1.
Southwell 15.45 - Having a little single on Sewn Up as he is in form, looks overpriced and I would love him to beat Hayley Turner's odds on mount. ;-)
Southwell 16.20 - Okay I was probably wrong the other day about Elusive Hawk but did he win? No, so the lay was a success! ;-) I think he will take all the beating today and will go into a multiple but the front running Desert Strike is a horse I like and is overpriced. Southwell is notoriously hard for horses that like to come with a late swoop from the back and with Joe Fanning up in the saddle today instead of my best pal Hayley Turner he looks a great e/w bet at a very generous 20/1.
Wolves 18.50 - Compton Silver is worth a small win bet in this for me, a very very weak race for a yard bang in form, blinkers tried for the first time too.
Wolves 19.20 - Spark of Genius will be getting back to winning ways today. A first time visor and WTD's claim taken into account makes him look an attractive proposition. Today's track and trip are ideal for her and I will be very surprised if she doesn't win.
Wetherby 4.30 - The Thirsty Bricky will win soon win my mind, not exactly sure why I think that though! Anyway a puny e/w stake on him at 33's for me.
My bets:
Singles:
Ling - 13.30 Tenbridge @ 6/1 Placed
Sout - 15.10 Flying Pickets @ 25/1 (e/w)
Sout - 15.45 Sewn Up @ 9/2 Placed
Sout - 16.20 Desert Strike @ 20/1 (e/w) Placed
Weth - 16.30 The Thirsty Bricky @ 33/1 (e/w) Placed
Wolv - 18.50 Compton Silver @ 4/1 Won
Wolv - 19.20 Spark of Genius @ 2/1 NAP Placed
Doubles:
'Banker' Double - Homeboy and Spark of Genius @ 5/1
Value Double - Tenbridge and Caldercruix @ 17/1
Each Way Longshot Double - Flying Pickets and Desert Strike @ 545/1
Treble:
Homeboy, Spark of Genius, Caldercruix @ 15/1
Four Fold:
Homeboy, Spark of Genius, Caldercruix, Elusive Hawk @ 38/1
No Lucky 15 today as my best four bets are shorter prices than usual and the returns wouldn't be that great. However the treble looks great value and if you are only getting on one of our bets today make it that. Good Luck all, confident today, despite yesterday!
THT
No comments:
Post a Comment