The blog is back as I feel I have been a bit lazy recently and I know a lot of people appreciate explanations for the selections. If you like the look of any of these then best of luck to you and thankyou for taking the time to read our thoughts!
JACK OF DIAMONDS is a horse I am a great admirer of as my long term Twitter followers know. He is a horse of massive potential and I expect him to be winning plenty of races this season and is very much my main horse to follow whether he wins today or not. However I am very confident today despite a short priced favourite up against him. His trainer rates him very highly and expect to see this horse in much stronger races than this, this season. He finished a close up second on his reappearance after a 5 month break and went very well flying home late but just failing to catch the winner after suffering bad luck in running with the jockey having to haul him back and switch him outside well inside the final couple of furlongs which scuppered his chances. He will have come on for that run and has the fitness edge over most of these with the recent run under his belt. This race is weaker than the one he contested in last time and Robert Winston is back in the saddle today of which he is 1/2 on the horse, the other run a close up second on a surface he had never been tried on before (fibresand), beating some subsequent winners in the process. When you consider that this horse has finished 3 lengths off the pace in a class 2 race early in his career and just a neck off the pace in a class 3 after a 5 month break and for the other reasons mentioned, he begins to look a very appealing proposition indeed in a weakish class 4 at what looked a massive 9/2. He has been heavily backed and I first mentioned him much earlier today when he was 5/1 and I only managed to get 9/2 myself but he is best priced 4/1 at the time of writing but 3/1 and shortening in other places, so if you are going to back this horse, get on ASAP! The short priced favourite has also recieved some market support and all the money is coming for these two, in fact around 85% of the total money has been for just these two runners so it looks a two horse race. Net Whizz has only been right handed around A/W tracks in his short career and has already been beaten at prices of 5/6 and 13/8. He is however, open to plenty of improvement and obviously rates the main danger with Ryan Moore in the saddle for Jeremy Noseda but would not be taking 6/4 about him for this one. Saying that a few C and D winners in the race may prove good value and could get competitive. Come on Jack! (19.25 Lingfield) NAP
SCEPTICISM is worth another chance in my eyes. He has finished second the last twice which is off-putting, but having faith in yourself and horses you back is what it is all about. I backed him two races ago where he came 2nd at 6/1 but left him last time as I thought he was priced on the short side. Despite nicking 5 lengths out of the field he was caught inside the final furlong and probably went too hard under Joe Fanning in the early stages. He has been stepped back in trip slightly today which looks as if it will suit down to the ground as he weakened when he got lonely last time inside the final few hundred yards. Silvestre de Sousa also takes the ride for the first time so the in form Mark Johnston clearly means business and 7/2 looks a more than fair price for a horse whose turn must be right around the corner. Scepticism is usually prominently ridden and SDS is fantastic from the front; he judges pace really well. He is drawn 6 which isn't ideal but it could be worse and this looks the only concern in a race that he looks set out to win. (19.55 Lingfield) NB
DIOCLES has a tough task to overcome Sleep in First in the 4.10 Kelso tomorrow though I fancy him to end SIF's prolific run as he makes his handicap debut after a small break for the McCain yard who are slowly coming back to form after a quiet start to the year. I think he has shown enough in novice company to warrant a lot of respect off a potentially fair mark despite the fact he is giving a few pounds to the penalised Sleep in First. Jason Maguire won 4 races on Sunday and has a 43% strike rate for the owners of this horse and at the biggest price this horse has ever been available at, looks worth a small bet. 11/2.
STRIKER TORRES is worth a small bet as he is on a winning mark and drops to lowly 0-60 grade for the first time in his long career. Graham Lee in the saddle is certainly no negative and some past form suggests he will go well fresh, back from a four month break for this one. The favourite is getting all the money but at 6/1 ST is worth a small e/w stake as he should go close today and will be winning again soon. (Wolves 13.50)
I was at the races when ROCK SONG took my eye in the paddock after a long break, trying a new trip for his new trainer. He looked glorious and for some reason I didn't back him, knowing in my mind he was one of the best looking horses I had seen for some time. He took his time but got the hang of things beating some improving horses by nailing them all late on, to my displeasure! He will have come on for that run and Graham Lee returns for the ride in what looks a similar looking race, maybe slightly stronger this time but he can improve again and follow up as he will be sharper after his nice win over C and D two weeks ago; looks a very fair price too. (Wolves 15.20)
Despite being outsider of the field in a strong race I can;t ignore the fact that MIDNIGHT DREAM looks a massive price at 33/1. He can be forgiven his last run on turf on softer ground he wouldn't have liked against stronger opposition. (Fallon on board too!) His C and D form reads 222 losing out by 1L, 1/2L and a nose on those occasions. His other run at Wolves resulted in him winning over a trip a few hundred yards shorter than today's and his big price looks mad to me. I expect him to receive some e/w support and go off shorter than this but would be nice if he drifted! A strong race, yes, but forgiving his last run, he is far from a no hoper here and could spring a big shock, in terms of prices anyway. (16.50 Wolves)
IRONS ON FIRE is my final selection on Monday. (Lingfield 18.55) He went close last time on stable debut leading for most of the race until two got past in the final furlong. He responded well in the hood and is now running off a career-low mark and looks ready to strike, especially with Ryan Moore booked for the ride. Two of his three wins have been at this track and he is only one of two course winners in this weak yet open race, and he looks the one to be on at 3/1.
Overall:
NAP: Jack Of Diamonds @ 9/2
NB: Scepticism @ 7/2
NAP and NB double @ 23/1
Singles (small stakes advised):
Diocles @ 11/2 e/w
Striker Torres @ 6/1 e/w
Rock Song @ 11/2
Midnight Dream @ 33/1 e/w
Irons On Fire @ 3/1
Longshot e/w Double (small stake advised):
Diocles and Striker Torres @ 44.5/1
Lucky 15:
Jack Of Diamonds, Scepticism, Rock Song, Irons on Fire.
Returns £1473 for a £1 win stake.
Good Luck all, tell us what you think and tell us your fancies @THTRacing on twitter.
THT
Sunday 28 April 2013
Monday 15 April 2013
Monday 15th April
Morning all, not too many we like today but quite confident that all of these are overpriced and will be shorter at the off, maybe with the exception of our 25/1 e/w fancy. Get on now, good luck.
Single:
Newcastle 6.00 - Harare @ 25/1 - The veteran makes his comeback in a weak race on a winning mark and looks a massive price, defeinitely worth a a small e/w stake as he won't just be here to make up the numbers.
Lucky 15:
Windsor 2.50 - My Son Max @ 4/1 - Heavily backed when returning to winning ways last time after a string of consistent performances since being dropped to the minimum trip. Sure to go well again on turf as he is on a 2lb lower mark than last race and the useful Robert Tart claim only aids his cause, looks likely to go off favourite, and rightly so, hard to beat.
Redcar 3.40 - Azrael @ 4/1 - Azrael is an admirably consistent performer that always runs his race and was a deserved winner last time at Yarmouth when he made all the running. Despite a penalty he remains well-treated on his best form and looks to have a great chance in today's race despite a big gamble on the likely favourite Destiny Blue.
Windsor 4.50 - Shamir @ 10/1 - This looks a big price and money is coming, he is already 7's or 8's in some places, but 10/1 widely available at time of writing. He runs in high quality races on the all-weather and a fantastic effort last time makes the price look very appealing as he runs off a 14lb lower mark today back on turf which is a massive difference. While he may be better suited on the A/W, he will go very close today and will go off at half this price imo.
Windsor 5.20 - Bernisdale @ 4/1 - Bernisdale ran a great race when eased inside the final furlong under returning jockey Jamie Spencer. He got going too late over a sharper trip last time, staying on strongly close home. He is a C and D winner, winning twice here last year and looks to have a great chance today. The jockey has a 67% strike rate when riding for John Flint and despite Burnham being a big danger, our fancy is sure to be there at the business end.
Single:
Harare @ 25/1 e/w
Lucky 15:
Bernisdale, My Son Max, Azrael, Shamir.
Returns £2850 for a £1 win stake.
Good Luck all.
THT
Single:
Newcastle 6.00 - Harare @ 25/1 - The veteran makes his comeback in a weak race on a winning mark and looks a massive price, defeinitely worth a a small e/w stake as he won't just be here to make up the numbers.
Lucky 15:
Windsor 2.50 - My Son Max @ 4/1 - Heavily backed when returning to winning ways last time after a string of consistent performances since being dropped to the minimum trip. Sure to go well again on turf as he is on a 2lb lower mark than last race and the useful Robert Tart claim only aids his cause, looks likely to go off favourite, and rightly so, hard to beat.
Redcar 3.40 - Azrael @ 4/1 - Azrael is an admirably consistent performer that always runs his race and was a deserved winner last time at Yarmouth when he made all the running. Despite a penalty he remains well-treated on his best form and looks to have a great chance in today's race despite a big gamble on the likely favourite Destiny Blue.
Windsor 4.50 - Shamir @ 10/1 - This looks a big price and money is coming, he is already 7's or 8's in some places, but 10/1 widely available at time of writing. He runs in high quality races on the all-weather and a fantastic effort last time makes the price look very appealing as he runs off a 14lb lower mark today back on turf which is a massive difference. While he may be better suited on the A/W, he will go very close today and will go off at half this price imo.
Windsor 5.20 - Bernisdale @ 4/1 - Bernisdale ran a great race when eased inside the final furlong under returning jockey Jamie Spencer. He got going too late over a sharper trip last time, staying on strongly close home. He is a C and D winner, winning twice here last year and looks to have a great chance today. The jockey has a 67% strike rate when riding for John Flint and despite Burnham being a big danger, our fancy is sure to be there at the business end.
Single:
Harare @ 25/1 e/w
Lucky 15:
Bernisdale, My Son Max, Azrael, Shamir.
Returns £2850 for a £1 win stake.
Good Luck all.
THT
Friday 12 April 2013
Friday 12th April
Morning all, today's selections are as follows:
Singles:
3.00 Lingfield - The Happy Hammer @ 20/1 e/w
4.10 Lingfield - Dishy Guru @ 12/1 e/w
5.20 Lingfield - Tefflah @ 8/1 e/w
7.00 Wolves - Yankee Storm @ 4/1 NB
8.00 Wolves - McBirney @ 8/1 e/w
9.00 Wolves - Restless Bay @ 3/1 NAP
Doubles:
Restless Bay and Purcell @ 15/2
Restless Bay and Yankee Storm @ 19/1
Treble:
Restless Bay, Purcell, Yankee Storm @ 41/1
Good Luck all.
THT
Singles:
3.00 Lingfield - The Happy Hammer @ 20/1 e/w
4.10 Lingfield - Dishy Guru @ 12/1 e/w
5.20 Lingfield - Tefflah @ 8/1 e/w
7.00 Wolves - Yankee Storm @ 4/1 NB
8.00 Wolves - McBirney @ 8/1 e/w
9.00 Wolves - Restless Bay @ 3/1 NAP
Doubles:
Restless Bay and Purcell @ 15/2
Restless Bay and Yankee Storm @ 19/1
Treble:
Restless Bay, Purcell, Yankee Storm @ 41/1
Good Luck all.
THT
Thursday 11 April 2013
Thursday 11th April
Morning all. Today's bets are as follows.
Singles:
19.00 Kempton - Lily Edge @ 25/1 e/w
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster @ 6/1 e/w NAP
Value Double:
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster
20.00 Kempton - Llamadas
Pays 41/1.
£1 Lucky 15:
16.55 Kempton - Officer In Command
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster
20.00 Kempton - Llamadas
20.30 Kempton - Amosite
Pays just over £1600.
Good Luck all.
THT
Singles:
19.00 Kempton - Lily Edge @ 25/1 e/w
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster @ 6/1 e/w NAP
Value Double:
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster
20.00 Kempton - Llamadas
Pays 41/1.
£1 Lucky 15:
16.55 Kempton - Officer In Command
19.30 Kempton - Icebuster
20.00 Kempton - Llamadas
20.30 Kempton - Amosite
Pays just over £1600.
Good Luck all.
THT
Sunday 7 April 2013
Monday 8th April
A couple of nice little cards on the all-weather tracks at Kempton and Wolverhampton on Monday. Going to the races at Wolverhampton for the first time tomorrow and I am delighted with the card, some really nice little races and a few horses I like including my lucky horse Lucky Dan who I will probably back when I get there as I always do. Despite it being a Monday afternoon on the A/W I am still excited and can't wait to get there and hopefully pick some winners. Will save most of my bets for on the course but have already had a few bets and they are below. Will update what I am doing and why from the course tomorrow through the afternoon for those interested!
Horses to Watch:
Some very interesting runners who I will be keeping an eye on tomorrow. I may even have tiny win bets on them, haven't decided yet. They are the following:
Kempton 14.20 - Luv U Honey - This one is a half sister to four winners, most recognisably is probably Luv U Whatever who has been winning some races recently. Could go close on debut as two out of four siblings won as two year olds. Looks like it will open up around the 10/1 mark which could be worth a little e/w bet though only two places paid with the odds on fav likely to fill one of them.
Wolves 16.10 - Gin Time - Most will be familiar with the silks and name of this one. Lager Time and Vodka time are others with similar names for the David Evans team. Gin Time went well on debut and despite being a bit green stayed on towards the end although was a few lengths behind the winner. She is sent out for a try on the all weather today in a weaker race and should have a good chance with normal improvement expected. The likely favourite is another David Evans horse who was third at Kempton last month. Kodafine also stayed on very well, arguably better than anything and an Evans one-two looks likely, thought Vodka Chaser wouldn't surprise anyone if he was good enough on debut. Just interested to see the outcome of this race, not having a bet.
Kempton 16.20 - Poetic Verse - Looking back, this horse was overpriced for his last race when he stayed on better than anything under a powerful Atzeni ride, though easy to say knowing result! That race looks stronger than this one too and despite the fact that everything fell into place for him that day he is probably a little overpriced in this one too given none of the opposition have won over this distance. Huge early money for Botti horse but Poetic Verse has every chance of going close again, this time with Ryan Moore in the saddle. At 6/1 at time of writing, a small each way bet looks worthwhile yet only small stakes.
Wolves 16.40 - Harrogate Fair - Exposed but has won here before and could get involved and ultimately looks a tad overpriced despite only 2 places paid. A tiny e/w bet could be worthwhile but still undecided, yet this horse went in for us at 14/1 a while back so am happy to give another go. 20/1
Kempton 17.20 - Sand Grouse - This Botti horse ran only three days ago when forth in a stronger race over 7f. Connections have sent him out again very quickly at a shorter trip and he looks to be a bit overpriced, which isn't a surprise given he has been a beaten favourite on a few occasions. Not betting but interested to see how he goes. Early indications suggest around a 7/1 - 8/1 pricetag, something like that but can't be sure as limited markets available at time of writing.
Horses to Back:
On to my bets for the day. As I said will update any additions from the course tomorrow but have done a few tonight that you may be interested in.
Sam Spade looks worth another chance as he has been quickly sent back out by connections after being well backed last time and just failing over course and distance. He still has plenty of improvement in him and his last run was his best run yet and Ryan Moore takes over the reigns today. Whether connections weren't happy with his ride by Richard Hughes last time I don't know but a swift reappearance and jockey change mean this could be the case. When a horse is heavily backed and only loses by a neck he is probably worth sticking with and this is another weak looking affair and goes into a multiple or two. Beau Select is a big danger and overpriced as he went very close over track and trip in February and an eachway coverbet on him is something worth doing at 8/1. 15.50 Kempton.
West Leake is an admirably consistent horse and runs in a very competitive race at Kempton tomorrow. One of nine C and D winners in the decent field, he is currently the joint favourite at 5/1. His 2212 form could easily read 1111 as he has only gone down by 3/4L or less on all three occasions in defeat. He stays on well but sometimes gets going slightly too late but is worth a decent each way stake at the prices. I could play it safe and look at the place market but I genuinely think he has a great chance of winning so going for the slightly bigger payout by going e/w. This ensures you get your money back should he only manage a place which I am confident he will unless he runs a shocker or runs into a lot of trouble in-running. Midnight Feast looks a danger as he was a close third off a lowering mark in blinkers last time and a lot of money has come for him already with Luke Morris in the saddle. Connor Dore's horses are in good order and despite some uninspiring form, Satwa Laird could get involved too. 16.50.
Thomas Brown can maintain his astonishing 100% strike rate for Ismail Mohammed tomorrow on likely favourite Admiralty. He won comfortably on his reappearance from a four month winter break and will be even sharper today. He is in cracking form and won the last time he was here. One of only two C and D winners in the race, the other being Guru of Gloom, he has a great chance of completing a hattrick and probably won't be finished at three on the bounce should he achieve that. Threats include the well punted Peace Seeker who shaped well on his return and was heavily backed. He will give Admiralty a race at least but I have every faith Admiralty is the one to beat. I am having a coverbet however, on a horse already mentioned. The Guru of Gloom as I said is the only other C and D winner and looks massive at 16/1 and could run a big race. He has a great chance of running into the places at least in my opinion as he is 1/1 at the course in the past year or so.
Top Trail is one I pondered over as his win last time was nothing that special. Saying that he did beat an odds on favourite by a fair distance and that was his return run from a six month break so actually it may have been more impressive than it looks on paper. He faces similar class opposition on Monday though Hazard Warning is a danger. He has won his last two over C and D and I am surprised his price isn't as closely matched with the favourite yet that shows there is already plenty of market confidence in our pick. Saying that, HW has been raised 17lb in the process of those wins and might just find our fancy too strong today as Top Trail will be a lot sharper for his easy reappearance win. 16.40.
Singles:
Wolves 15.10 - The Guru of Gloom @ 16/1 e/w (coverbet) Placed
Kempton 15.50 - Beau Select @ 8/1 e/w (coverbet) Placed
Double:
Sam Spade and Admiralty @ 5/1 WON
Trebles:
Sam Spade, Admiralty, Top Trail, West Leake.
Be Lucky everyone, will likely have a little flutter on each race as I will be at the track, will update best I can. Good Luck if you fancy any of our picks and decide to do them yourself! You may want to do a forecast with our coverbets or an e/w double but above is just what I have done!
THT
Horses to Watch:
Some very interesting runners who I will be keeping an eye on tomorrow. I may even have tiny win bets on them, haven't decided yet. They are the following:
Kempton 14.20 - Luv U Honey - This one is a half sister to four winners, most recognisably is probably Luv U Whatever who has been winning some races recently. Could go close on debut as two out of four siblings won as two year olds. Looks like it will open up around the 10/1 mark which could be worth a little e/w bet though only two places paid with the odds on fav likely to fill one of them.
Wolves 16.10 - Gin Time - Most will be familiar with the silks and name of this one. Lager Time and Vodka time are others with similar names for the David Evans team. Gin Time went well on debut and despite being a bit green stayed on towards the end although was a few lengths behind the winner. She is sent out for a try on the all weather today in a weaker race and should have a good chance with normal improvement expected. The likely favourite is another David Evans horse who was third at Kempton last month. Kodafine also stayed on very well, arguably better than anything and an Evans one-two looks likely, thought Vodka Chaser wouldn't surprise anyone if he was good enough on debut. Just interested to see the outcome of this race, not having a bet.
Kempton 16.20 - Poetic Verse - Looking back, this horse was overpriced for his last race when he stayed on better than anything under a powerful Atzeni ride, though easy to say knowing result! That race looks stronger than this one too and despite the fact that everything fell into place for him that day he is probably a little overpriced in this one too given none of the opposition have won over this distance. Huge early money for Botti horse but Poetic Verse has every chance of going close again, this time with Ryan Moore in the saddle. At 6/1 at time of writing, a small each way bet looks worthwhile yet only small stakes.
Wolves 16.40 - Harrogate Fair - Exposed but has won here before and could get involved and ultimately looks a tad overpriced despite only 2 places paid. A tiny e/w bet could be worthwhile but still undecided, yet this horse went in for us at 14/1 a while back so am happy to give another go. 20/1
Kempton 17.20 - Sand Grouse - This Botti horse ran only three days ago when forth in a stronger race over 7f. Connections have sent him out again very quickly at a shorter trip and he looks to be a bit overpriced, which isn't a surprise given he has been a beaten favourite on a few occasions. Not betting but interested to see how he goes. Early indications suggest around a 7/1 - 8/1 pricetag, something like that but can't be sure as limited markets available at time of writing.
Horses to Back:
On to my bets for the day. As I said will update any additions from the course tomorrow but have done a few tonight that you may be interested in.
Sam Spade looks worth another chance as he has been quickly sent back out by connections after being well backed last time and just failing over course and distance. He still has plenty of improvement in him and his last run was his best run yet and Ryan Moore takes over the reigns today. Whether connections weren't happy with his ride by Richard Hughes last time I don't know but a swift reappearance and jockey change mean this could be the case. When a horse is heavily backed and only loses by a neck he is probably worth sticking with and this is another weak looking affair and goes into a multiple or two. Beau Select is a big danger and overpriced as he went very close over track and trip in February and an eachway coverbet on him is something worth doing at 8/1. 15.50 Kempton.
West Leake is an admirably consistent horse and runs in a very competitive race at Kempton tomorrow. One of nine C and D winners in the decent field, he is currently the joint favourite at 5/1. His 2212 form could easily read 1111 as he has only gone down by 3/4L or less on all three occasions in defeat. He stays on well but sometimes gets going slightly too late but is worth a decent each way stake at the prices. I could play it safe and look at the place market but I genuinely think he has a great chance of winning so going for the slightly bigger payout by going e/w. This ensures you get your money back should he only manage a place which I am confident he will unless he runs a shocker or runs into a lot of trouble in-running. Midnight Feast looks a danger as he was a close third off a lowering mark in blinkers last time and a lot of money has come for him already with Luke Morris in the saddle. Connor Dore's horses are in good order and despite some uninspiring form, Satwa Laird could get involved too. 16.50.
Thomas Brown can maintain his astonishing 100% strike rate for Ismail Mohammed tomorrow on likely favourite Admiralty. He won comfortably on his reappearance from a four month winter break and will be even sharper today. He is in cracking form and won the last time he was here. One of only two C and D winners in the race, the other being Guru of Gloom, he has a great chance of completing a hattrick and probably won't be finished at three on the bounce should he achieve that. Threats include the well punted Peace Seeker who shaped well on his return and was heavily backed. He will give Admiralty a race at least but I have every faith Admiralty is the one to beat. I am having a coverbet however, on a horse already mentioned. The Guru of Gloom as I said is the only other C and D winner and looks massive at 16/1 and could run a big race. He has a great chance of running into the places at least in my opinion as he is 1/1 at the course in the past year or so.
Top Trail is one I pondered over as his win last time was nothing that special. Saying that he did beat an odds on favourite by a fair distance and that was his return run from a six month break so actually it may have been more impressive than it looks on paper. He faces similar class opposition on Monday though Hazard Warning is a danger. He has won his last two over C and D and I am surprised his price isn't as closely matched with the favourite yet that shows there is already plenty of market confidence in our pick. Saying that, HW has been raised 17lb in the process of those wins and might just find our fancy too strong today as Top Trail will be a lot sharper for his easy reappearance win. 16.40.
Singles:
Wolves 15.10 - The Guru of Gloom @ 16/1 e/w (coverbet) Placed
Kempton 15.50 - Beau Select @ 8/1 e/w (coverbet) Placed
Double:
Sam Spade and Admiralty @ 5/1 WON
Trebles:
Sam Spade, Admiralty, Top Trail, West Leake.
Be Lucky everyone, will likely have a little flutter on each race as I will be at the track, will update best I can. Good Luck if you fancy any of our picks and decide to do them yourself! You may want to do a forecast with our coverbets or an e/w double but above is just what I have done!
THT
Friday 5 April 2013
Saturday 6th April
Morning all. Back very late from work so please once again excuse the fact there are no write ups. You can trust the same amount of effort has gone into the picks as always but I will be up all night if I do a full write up on every race. We haven't got lazy! What I would say though is my long term followers know a horse called Jack Of Diamonds means a lot to me and I have been waiting five months for his return and he is back today!! However he is entered in an ultra competitive race and will have to run to his best to win. He is still very young and has bags of potential and will give it a great go and should go well fresh. Would make my day if he won, but will be happy nonetheless. He is 8/1 at the time of writing so I am backing e/w. He will win plenty of races this flat season and is very much one to follow. Here goes:
Lingfield 14.25 - Tepmokea @ 7/1 e/w
Aintree 14.50 - African Gold @ 9/1 e/w
Lingfield 16.45 - Jack Of Diamonds @ 8/1 e/w
Also having an each way trixie on the three which pays £2539.38 for a £2.50 e/w stake.
Aintree 15.25 - Problema Tic @ 14/1 e/w
The Grand National:
After much debate I have whittled my picks down to three. Backing one of the shorter prices, a middle priced horse and an outsider but also had tiny e/w stakes on Any Currency and Rainbow Hunter for sentimental reasons. Being totally honest the three below are all horses I would love to win for racing reasons or the fact the horses/owners/trainers mean something to me personally. With that in mind you may want to look elsewhere but they are just the three I have backed myself, just thought you should know! There are probably horses with better chances on form etc but there you go, just the way I have decided to do it. My old man keeps telling me Chicago Grey will win though...
Seabass @ 12/1 - Third in this last year and would be great for racing if Katie Walsh could win for her Dad, Ted. As well as making history, the Walsh's sadly lost a horse just two days ago here at this meeting and winning the Grand National would be just brilliant, I want this horse to win so badly, and he is sure to run very well.
Roberto Goldback @ 25/1 - Would be fitting for Nicky Henderson to win the National, something he has never achieved, after the great week he has had. All his horses in top nick, the mighty Sprinter Sacre dominating a class field over a longer distance than he is used to and with the trainers championship heading back to his yard for the first time in god knows how long this would really be the icing on the cake.
Big Fella Thanks @ 60/1. I love this horse and something tells me he can run a massive race. Whether he can really win this I am not so sure, but I think he has fair place claims, and would really love him to go well.
So there you are. Despite the fact we may have backed the horses for the wrong reasons, they are the three picks nonetheless. You must agree, one of theses winning, especially Seabass would be great for racing as a whole. Not as great for racing however, as the 40 brave warriors and their jockeys all coming home safe. Wouldn't that just be a dream? Seabass winning and no fatalities in what in recent years has become the graveyard for some fantastic horses. Please dear God let the jockeys end the night in their own beds and the horses in their own stables. And most of all, enjoy the ultimate test of human and equine stamina, bravery and courage. It is sure to be a cracker. Good Luck all.
NB: A 50p e/w Lucky 15 on our trixie horses and Seabass pays £6k+.
THT
Lingfield 14.25 - Tepmokea @ 7/1 e/w
Aintree 14.50 - African Gold @ 9/1 e/w
Lingfield 16.45 - Jack Of Diamonds @ 8/1 e/w
Also having an each way trixie on the three which pays £2539.38 for a £2.50 e/w stake.
Aintree 15.25 - Problema Tic @ 14/1 e/w
The Grand National:
After much debate I have whittled my picks down to three. Backing one of the shorter prices, a middle priced horse and an outsider but also had tiny e/w stakes on Any Currency and Rainbow Hunter for sentimental reasons. Being totally honest the three below are all horses I would love to win for racing reasons or the fact the horses/owners/trainers mean something to me personally. With that in mind you may want to look elsewhere but they are just the three I have backed myself, just thought you should know! There are probably horses with better chances on form etc but there you go, just the way I have decided to do it. My old man keeps telling me Chicago Grey will win though...
Seabass @ 12/1 - Third in this last year and would be great for racing if Katie Walsh could win for her Dad, Ted. As well as making history, the Walsh's sadly lost a horse just two days ago here at this meeting and winning the Grand National would be just brilliant, I want this horse to win so badly, and he is sure to run very well.
Roberto Goldback @ 25/1 - Would be fitting for Nicky Henderson to win the National, something he has never achieved, after the great week he has had. All his horses in top nick, the mighty Sprinter Sacre dominating a class field over a longer distance than he is used to and with the trainers championship heading back to his yard for the first time in god knows how long this would really be the icing on the cake.
Big Fella Thanks @ 60/1. I love this horse and something tells me he can run a massive race. Whether he can really win this I am not so sure, but I think he has fair place claims, and would really love him to go well.
So there you are. Despite the fact we may have backed the horses for the wrong reasons, they are the three picks nonetheless. You must agree, one of theses winning, especially Seabass would be great for racing as a whole. Not as great for racing however, as the 40 brave warriors and their jockeys all coming home safe. Wouldn't that just be a dream? Seabass winning and no fatalities in what in recent years has become the graveyard for some fantastic horses. Please dear God let the jockeys end the night in their own beds and the horses in their own stables. And most of all, enjoy the ultimate test of human and equine stamina, bravery and courage. It is sure to be a cracker. Good Luck all.
NB: A 50p e/w Lucky 15 on our trixie horses and Seabass pays £6k+.
THT
Thursday 4 April 2013
Friday 5th April
Very frustrating day yesterday for many reasons, would prefer to just move on. Earned plenty of place money and our NAP won at 5/2 but except from that it was certainly not our best day! On to Friday:
Actonetaketwo consistently runs eyecatchers and should have won her last three. She takes his time to get into stride but when she gets going there is no stopping her, she flies home. She has finished third two of the last three runs behind Sand Grouse about half a length on one occasion. However Sand Grouse has had his chances and may have to settle for second best behind this young filly as he was weakeneing while AOTT was closing rapidly. The jockeys' claim further aids her cause and when I saw Sand Grouse was almost evens and our girl was 5/2 I was very surprised. In time a step up in trip will suit, but the trainer has every right and expectation that the C and D winner can get at least one more win at 7f under her belt in this weak looking race.
Free Thinking stands out for me in the flat race at Aintree tomorrow. The Henderson trained 5yo looks overpriced at 10/1 in my opinion. He was beaten by two of these last time but that was on heavy ground which this horse isn't suited by. That said he rallied gamely late on to grab third place some 8 lengths behind todays opposition. The quicker ground will be ideal for this horse as shown by his rout of rivals on his debut on the A/W. He wasn't so convincing the next time on soft ground but still won, gamely holding off a late charge, and he was well fancied that day too and started fairly long odds on. I really fancy him to run a big race tomorrow and at 10/1 is a cracking each way bet.
14.00 Aintree - My Tent or Yous will win but no value in backing him as a win bet. The distance market offers up some value and I fancy over 10L winning distance at 7/2 as he is a class above these.
14.30 Aintree - Dynaste is the obvious strating point for me. Always felt he was a horse with too much hype surrounding him and although second, he was a disappointment to a lot of people who had him down as a banker of the festival. Nicholls horse will go well as will Super Duty, in fact he will probably win as I backed him at Chelt when he went down by a head and not backing him this time. I think Vino Griego is a very fair price at 8/1. He stays the distance well as shown by his powerful finish when beating some good horses on his recent run over 3m. His latest run was at Cheltenham which I know wasn't a great omen on day one but he ran well staying on best but couldn't catch the winner, finishing a creditable second. The ground drying may be a worry but some of his competitors are also better suited by softer going. Worth a small e/w bet of interest anyway imo.
15.05 Aintree - Sprinter Sacre will be winning I pray and hope, mainly for connections sake as I hope they have a long term plan. If they are just seeing whether he can handle another 4f then that is wrong imo, but The King George and maybe the Gold Cup one day seem plausible targets. But who knows we may find out tomorrow. Had a very interesting debate on Twitter last night into the early hourse, enough been said I think. Who will follow him home? Who knows but I will be laughing if it is the Mad Moose as he is one of my favourite horses and have backed him at 250/1 e/w as I always have done and always will. Stranger things have happened, believe it or not! Part of that price is based on whether he refuses to race or not as he can be a tricky customer like when I backed him at Chelt and quietly fancied him to run a big race! Anyway come on Sprinter Sacre, please win.
15.40 Aintree - Races like this are a lottery and I generally avoid but I have been told to back Criqtonic by a reliable source e/w so I have, end of story.
16.15 Aintree - Staying loyal to Master Of The Sea in this one. At Fisher's Cross as short as he wants to be given he is only proven on sfoter going and McCoy loves laying those favourites. MOTS lost nothing in defeat at Cheltenham and won last time he was here. Don't expect him to win this but I think he has a very fair chance of placing and the price looks fair enough.
16.50 Aintree - Kyhber Kim still has a touch of class despite the fact she isn't getting any younger. I like this horse a lot and she has solid e/w claims in a weaker race than she usually contests. She is a C and D winner too and the old girl has another big race in her and Geraghty back on board is a plus. Not having Broadway Buffalo in this race one little bit though Cotton Mill should go much better than recent showings and has a huge chance.
14.00 Aintree - My Tent Or Yours to win by 10L+ @ 7/2
14.30 Aintree - Vino Griego @ 8/1 e/w
15.40 Aintree - Criqtonic @ 25/1 e/w
16.15 Aintree - Master Of The Sea @ 8/1 e/w
16.50 Aintree - Khyber Kim @ 16/1 e/w
17.25 Aintree - Free Thinking @ 10/1 e/w
17.55 Wolves - Actonetaketwo @ 5/2
No value at either A/W meetings for me except the one pick which is about as short as we back for a single. (The Sedgefield card was one of the worst I have ever seen) Plenty of the favs should be winning at Aintree and everyone will have their accumulators on the favs for sure, although if you fancy some value, why not go for the same picks as me? Tell us what you think on Twitter @THTRacing.
THT
Actonetaketwo consistently runs eyecatchers and should have won her last three. She takes his time to get into stride but when she gets going there is no stopping her, she flies home. She has finished third two of the last three runs behind Sand Grouse about half a length on one occasion. However Sand Grouse has had his chances and may have to settle for second best behind this young filly as he was weakeneing while AOTT was closing rapidly. The jockeys' claim further aids her cause and when I saw Sand Grouse was almost evens and our girl was 5/2 I was very surprised. In time a step up in trip will suit, but the trainer has every right and expectation that the C and D winner can get at least one more win at 7f under her belt in this weak looking race.
Free Thinking stands out for me in the flat race at Aintree tomorrow. The Henderson trained 5yo looks overpriced at 10/1 in my opinion. He was beaten by two of these last time but that was on heavy ground which this horse isn't suited by. That said he rallied gamely late on to grab third place some 8 lengths behind todays opposition. The quicker ground will be ideal for this horse as shown by his rout of rivals on his debut on the A/W. He wasn't so convincing the next time on soft ground but still won, gamely holding off a late charge, and he was well fancied that day too and started fairly long odds on. I really fancy him to run a big race tomorrow and at 10/1 is a cracking each way bet.
14.00 Aintree - My Tent or Yous will win but no value in backing him as a win bet. The distance market offers up some value and I fancy over 10L winning distance at 7/2 as he is a class above these.
14.30 Aintree - Dynaste is the obvious strating point for me. Always felt he was a horse with too much hype surrounding him and although second, he was a disappointment to a lot of people who had him down as a banker of the festival. Nicholls horse will go well as will Super Duty, in fact he will probably win as I backed him at Chelt when he went down by a head and not backing him this time. I think Vino Griego is a very fair price at 8/1. He stays the distance well as shown by his powerful finish when beating some good horses on his recent run over 3m. His latest run was at Cheltenham which I know wasn't a great omen on day one but he ran well staying on best but couldn't catch the winner, finishing a creditable second. The ground drying may be a worry but some of his competitors are also better suited by softer going. Worth a small e/w bet of interest anyway imo.
15.05 Aintree - Sprinter Sacre will be winning I pray and hope, mainly for connections sake as I hope they have a long term plan. If they are just seeing whether he can handle another 4f then that is wrong imo, but The King George and maybe the Gold Cup one day seem plausible targets. But who knows we may find out tomorrow. Had a very interesting debate on Twitter last night into the early hourse, enough been said I think. Who will follow him home? Who knows but I will be laughing if it is the Mad Moose as he is one of my favourite horses and have backed him at 250/1 e/w as I always have done and always will. Stranger things have happened, believe it or not! Part of that price is based on whether he refuses to race or not as he can be a tricky customer like when I backed him at Chelt and quietly fancied him to run a big race! Anyway come on Sprinter Sacre, please win.
15.40 Aintree - Races like this are a lottery and I generally avoid but I have been told to back Criqtonic by a reliable source e/w so I have, end of story.
16.15 Aintree - Staying loyal to Master Of The Sea in this one. At Fisher's Cross as short as he wants to be given he is only proven on sfoter going and McCoy loves laying those favourites. MOTS lost nothing in defeat at Cheltenham and won last time he was here. Don't expect him to win this but I think he has a very fair chance of placing and the price looks fair enough.
16.50 Aintree - Kyhber Kim still has a touch of class despite the fact she isn't getting any younger. I like this horse a lot and she has solid e/w claims in a weaker race than she usually contests. She is a C and D winner too and the old girl has another big race in her and Geraghty back on board is a plus. Not having Broadway Buffalo in this race one little bit though Cotton Mill should go much better than recent showings and has a huge chance.
14.00 Aintree - My Tent Or Yours to win by 10L+ @ 7/2
14.30 Aintree - Vino Griego @ 8/1 e/w
15.40 Aintree - Criqtonic @ 25/1 e/w
16.15 Aintree - Master Of The Sea @ 8/1 e/w
16.50 Aintree - Khyber Kim @ 16/1 e/w
17.25 Aintree - Free Thinking @ 10/1 e/w
17.55 Wolves - Actonetaketwo @ 5/2
No value at either A/W meetings for me except the one pick which is about as short as we back for a single. (The Sedgefield card was one of the worst I have ever seen) Plenty of the favs should be winning at Aintree and everyone will have their accumulators on the favs for sure, although if you fancy some value, why not go for the same picks as me? Tell us what you think on Twitter @THTRacing.
THT
Wednesday 3 April 2013
Thursday 4th April
Glad I barely bet yesterday, looking at the cards you were left uninspired and the races looked weakish and trappy. Many little gambles going on, barely any going in however and some odd results. Anyway Thursday is very different with day one of the Aintree meet as well as some decent jumps racing at Taunton and some A/W action to get stuck into too. Tomorrow's selection's are as follows.
Singles:
15.20 Taunton - Hunt Ball @ 5/2 NAP
15.20 Taunton - Alasi @ 8/1 e/w
16.15 Aintree - Astracad @ 10/1 e/w
16.30 Taunton - Inside Dealer @ 25/1 e/w
16.40 Lingfield - Alnoomas @ 4/1 NB
17.55 Wolves - Jezza @ 6/1 e/w
18.25 Wolves - Restless Bay @ 12/1 e/w
19.55 Wolves - One Scoop Or Two @ 8/1 e/w IWAC
20.25 Wolves - Sally's Swansong @ 14/1 e/w
Value Double:
Hunt Ball and Alnoomas @ 16.5/1
Longshot each way double:
Restless Bay and One Scoop Or Two @ 116/1
Lucky 15:
Hunt Ball, Alnoomas, One Scoop or Two, Jezza.
Returns £1188 for a 50p win stake.
Got a good feeling about tomorrow, have a lot of confidence in every selection, despite the big prices as usual. Excited for the start of Aintree but just the one bet for us there tomorrow although I would love to see our gold cup fancy Silviniaco Conti win but he is too short to go near at odds on. Countrywide Flame is another horse I love and would be delighted to see him get the better of well fancied The New One yet I wouldn't begrudge him a win as the race is full of class and very competitive. Good luck to you all and enjoy the racing! Keep an eye out for our Grand National preview which will be on the blog tomorrow evening.
Plenty asking about our Aintree thoughts too so here are a few bets you may or may not be interested in.
Lucky 15 (1):
Irish Saint, Silviniaco Conti, Captain Conan, Countrywide Flame.
Pays £470.
Lucky 15 (2):
Irish Saint, First Lieutenant, The New One, Captain Conan.
Pays £790.
Straight Tricasts:
Countrywide Flame, The New One, Oscar Whisky @ 78/1
The New One, Countrywide Flame, Oscar Whisky @ 71/1
Silviniaco Conti, First Lieutenant, The Giant Bolster @ 15/1
First Lieutenant, Silviniaco Conti, The Giant Bolster @ 27/1
Oscar Whisky looks overpriced to me for the reasons I mentioned on Twitter and an e/w bet on him @ 7/1 looks appealing.
Good Luck all.
THT
Singles:
15.20 Taunton - Hunt Ball @ 5/2 NAP
15.20 Taunton - Alasi @ 8/1 e/w
16.15 Aintree - Astracad @ 10/1 e/w
16.30 Taunton - Inside Dealer @ 25/1 e/w
16.40 Lingfield - Alnoomas @ 4/1 NB
17.55 Wolves - Jezza @ 6/1 e/w
18.25 Wolves - Restless Bay @ 12/1 e/w
19.55 Wolves - One Scoop Or Two @ 8/1 e/w IWAC
20.25 Wolves - Sally's Swansong @ 14/1 e/w
Value Double:
Hunt Ball and Alnoomas @ 16.5/1
Longshot each way double:
Restless Bay and One Scoop Or Two @ 116/1
Lucky 15:
Hunt Ball, Alnoomas, One Scoop or Two, Jezza.
Returns £1188 for a 50p win stake.
Got a good feeling about tomorrow, have a lot of confidence in every selection, despite the big prices as usual. Excited for the start of Aintree but just the one bet for us there tomorrow although I would love to see our gold cup fancy Silviniaco Conti win but he is too short to go near at odds on. Countrywide Flame is another horse I love and would be delighted to see him get the better of well fancied The New One yet I wouldn't begrudge him a win as the race is full of class and very competitive. Good luck to you all and enjoy the racing! Keep an eye out for our Grand National preview which will be on the blog tomorrow evening.
Plenty asking about our Aintree thoughts too so here are a few bets you may or may not be interested in.
Lucky 15 (1):
Irish Saint, Silviniaco Conti, Captain Conan, Countrywide Flame.
Pays £470.
Lucky 15 (2):
Irish Saint, First Lieutenant, The New One, Captain Conan.
Pays £790.
Straight Tricasts:
Countrywide Flame, The New One, Oscar Whisky @ 78/1
The New One, Countrywide Flame, Oscar Whisky @ 71/1
Silviniaco Conti, First Lieutenant, The Giant Bolster @ 15/1
First Lieutenant, Silviniaco Conti, The Giant Bolster @ 27/1
Oscar Whisky looks overpriced to me for the reasons I mentioned on Twitter and an e/w bet on him @ 7/1 looks appealing.
Good Luck all.
THT
Monday 1 April 2013
Tuesday 2nd April
Another good day yesterday with winners at 11/4, 3/1, 10/3 and 8/1 and a 12/1 shot placing for each way returns added to the 3/4 on the Lucky 15 which returned £125 for a £1 stake. My NAP (Zaplamation) NB (Fieldgunner Kirkup) and third best bet (Prodigality) all went in. I was delighted with this but also quite annoyed as I always do a NAP and NB double and very often a treble which yesterday would have paid at 16/1 and 64/1 respectively if I had gone for them. That's racing I suppose! Also just realised this evening I had forgot to label my best bets appropriately and I keep forgetting to do this, won't happen again! Always find it good to make your best chance known as not everyone can back every horse. Anyway we hope to build on another great start to a week (always have good days on Monday's for some reason) with the horses below. I have plenty of time to explain my selections today, been very busy recently, I always try and explain why am backing a horse. Will also make sure I try to post a daily double and Lucky 15 as often as possible as I know some people like to just get involved with the multi bets but I am not advising anything unless I am 100% confident with it. Good Luck if you jump on today.
The 14.40 Exeter is a cracking little race for the grade and I don't think any can be ruled out. Venetia Williams has Saroque, the favourite at the time of writing who won comfortably on boxing day though has a 7lb rise to deal with here. Whether that will be enough to stop her I am not sure but this race certainly looks tougher, so despite the never out of form trainer and the recent improvement shown by the horse I am taking her on. Paul Nicholls has an entry but Watergate Bay hasn't raced since winning last time at Taunton in 2011 so I find it hard to find a reason to back him. The admirably consistent Ballinhow Star looks like he will give another solid account and you cant possibly rule out Lord Protector, Bygones Soveriegn or Shannon Spirit. A competitive race then, but two horses are overpriced for me. Xaarcet being one of them. He won when he was last here, over C and D then went on to complete a hattrick before finding 2m too short last time and coming home third. He is upped in trip again today and despite preferring the ground on the softer side he has his young claimer back on today which will help his cause and should go well. 12/1 looks a very appealing e/w proposition and can't say I would be surprised to see him in the winners enclosure as I believe he still has more to offer. The other one I think will outrun his price is Phone Home. He went in the notebook a month or two ago and despite not winning yet, he will be winning races soon imo. Yes his handicap debut was disappointing but something wasn't right from the very start that day and he was pulled up a fair way out, plus conditions weren't right for him anyway, in a better quality race than this one too. Wayne Hutchinson is an interesting jockey booking too, hinting that he carries some expectation today and as he was a close second to a hot favourite last time he raced here (Over C and D) I am very hopeful. 20/1 looks great e/w value to me.
Bentley should probably be a shorter price in the last at Southwell. 10/1 looks very generous for the Brian Baugh trained C and D winner. He went down by only a nose when heavily supported last time after his encouraging second behind the prolific Our Ivor the time before after a year off the track. He has the beating of a few of these on those two runs alone and his last effort on the quicker polytrack surface can be ignored as fibresand is his much preferred surface. He is sure to go close with Robert Tart in the saddle again and looks a great each way proposition in a weakish sort of race yet the Hans Adielsson trained favourite is very much the one to beat after his rout last time, if taking to this surface of course.
Chella Thriller is just about worth backing each way at the price in the Kempton opener. He is on a hattrick with George Baker in the saddle and should go very close. His below par run can be forgiven last time, and he looks to go better than course specialist Having A Ball judged on recent running with Tenure. CT was ridden in a strange way by a different jockey last time as he was encouraged to take a couple of lengths lead early when he is, in my opinion a better horse coming from the rear with a late swoop. He stays this trip out very well and his lack of Kempton experience looks the only worry, yet he should be going close in this company with Baker back in the saddle.
Divine Rule looks to have a good chance in the 16.30 Kempton tomorrow but he is probably priced about right. Lord of the Dance owes me absolutely nothing after his win at a huge 20/1 recently, though things fell exactly right that day. He is 14/1 in a weaker race today and I am happy to back him again at a double figure price which looks very generous considering he won over C and D in December.
Dishy Guru showed a glimmer of his old form which saw him win back to back races last Spring when six lengths third last time behind Elusive Hawk. Considering he reared in the stalls and was away very slowly he did very well rallying in the closing stages running on better than anything in a decent race with a subsequent 5L winner behind him. He hasn't been far off the pace the few races before that either and it could be his turn today in a competitive yet trappy sort of race. He will get a good pace today too which will suit him but Invigilator looks a threat partnered with Martin Dwyer once more. 11/1 for Dishy looks big though and I think he might go very close.
Below are the selections, 1pt e/w on all singles. Not going to label NAP's and NB's as they are mostly outsiders but Dishy Guru and Bentley would probably be my best value bets.
14.00 Kempton - Chella Thriller @ 6/1 e/w WON
14.40 Exeter - Xaarcet @ 12/1 e/w
14.40 Exeter - Phone Home @ 20/1 e/w
16.30 Kempton - Lord of the Dance @ 14/1 e/w Placed
17.00 Kempton - Dishy Guru @ 11/1 e/w
17.20 Southwell - Bentley @ 10/1 e/w
Longshot each way Lucky 15:
Xaarcet, Bentley, Lord of the Dance, Dishy Guru.
Returns £9750+ for a 25p e/w stake!!
Longshot each way double @ 131/1:
Bentley and Dishy Guru.
Shorties Treble @ 12/1:
15.50 Southwell - Even Stevens NR
16.20 Southwell - Elusive Hawk WON
17.40 Exeter - Jupiter Rex NR
Good Luck all.
THT
The 14.40 Exeter is a cracking little race for the grade and I don't think any can be ruled out. Venetia Williams has Saroque, the favourite at the time of writing who won comfortably on boxing day though has a 7lb rise to deal with here. Whether that will be enough to stop her I am not sure but this race certainly looks tougher, so despite the never out of form trainer and the recent improvement shown by the horse I am taking her on. Paul Nicholls has an entry but Watergate Bay hasn't raced since winning last time at Taunton in 2011 so I find it hard to find a reason to back him. The admirably consistent Ballinhow Star looks like he will give another solid account and you cant possibly rule out Lord Protector, Bygones Soveriegn or Shannon Spirit. A competitive race then, but two horses are overpriced for me. Xaarcet being one of them. He won when he was last here, over C and D then went on to complete a hattrick before finding 2m too short last time and coming home third. He is upped in trip again today and despite preferring the ground on the softer side he has his young claimer back on today which will help his cause and should go well. 12/1 looks a very appealing e/w proposition and can't say I would be surprised to see him in the winners enclosure as I believe he still has more to offer. The other one I think will outrun his price is Phone Home. He went in the notebook a month or two ago and despite not winning yet, he will be winning races soon imo. Yes his handicap debut was disappointing but something wasn't right from the very start that day and he was pulled up a fair way out, plus conditions weren't right for him anyway, in a better quality race than this one too. Wayne Hutchinson is an interesting jockey booking too, hinting that he carries some expectation today and as he was a close second to a hot favourite last time he raced here (Over C and D) I am very hopeful. 20/1 looks great e/w value to me.
Bentley should probably be a shorter price in the last at Southwell. 10/1 looks very generous for the Brian Baugh trained C and D winner. He went down by only a nose when heavily supported last time after his encouraging second behind the prolific Our Ivor the time before after a year off the track. He has the beating of a few of these on those two runs alone and his last effort on the quicker polytrack surface can be ignored as fibresand is his much preferred surface. He is sure to go close with Robert Tart in the saddle again and looks a great each way proposition in a weakish sort of race yet the Hans Adielsson trained favourite is very much the one to beat after his rout last time, if taking to this surface of course.
Chella Thriller is just about worth backing each way at the price in the Kempton opener. He is on a hattrick with George Baker in the saddle and should go very close. His below par run can be forgiven last time, and he looks to go better than course specialist Having A Ball judged on recent running with Tenure. CT was ridden in a strange way by a different jockey last time as he was encouraged to take a couple of lengths lead early when he is, in my opinion a better horse coming from the rear with a late swoop. He stays this trip out very well and his lack of Kempton experience looks the only worry, yet he should be going close in this company with Baker back in the saddle.
Divine Rule looks to have a good chance in the 16.30 Kempton tomorrow but he is probably priced about right. Lord of the Dance owes me absolutely nothing after his win at a huge 20/1 recently, though things fell exactly right that day. He is 14/1 in a weaker race today and I am happy to back him again at a double figure price which looks very generous considering he won over C and D in December.
Dishy Guru showed a glimmer of his old form which saw him win back to back races last Spring when six lengths third last time behind Elusive Hawk. Considering he reared in the stalls and was away very slowly he did very well rallying in the closing stages running on better than anything in a decent race with a subsequent 5L winner behind him. He hasn't been far off the pace the few races before that either and it could be his turn today in a competitive yet trappy sort of race. He will get a good pace today too which will suit him but Invigilator looks a threat partnered with Martin Dwyer once more. 11/1 for Dishy looks big though and I think he might go very close.
Below are the selections, 1pt e/w on all singles. Not going to label NAP's and NB's as they are mostly outsiders but Dishy Guru and Bentley would probably be my best value bets.
14.00 Kempton - Chella Thriller @ 6/1 e/w WON
14.40 Exeter - Xaarcet @ 12/1 e/w
14.40 Exeter - Phone Home @ 20/1 e/w
16.30 Kempton - Lord of the Dance @ 14/1 e/w Placed
17.00 Kempton - Dishy Guru @ 11/1 e/w
17.20 Southwell - Bentley @ 10/1 e/w
Longshot each way Lucky 15:
Xaarcet, Bentley, Lord of the Dance, Dishy Guru.
Returns £9750+ for a 25p e/w stake!!
Longshot each way double @ 131/1:
Bentley and Dishy Guru.
Shorties Treble @ 12/1:
15.50 Southwell - Even Stevens NR
16.20 Southwell - Elusive Hawk WON
17.40 Exeter - Jupiter Rex NR
Good Luck all.
THT
Monday 1st April
Defy Logic losing by a head ruined yesterday and same old story as we backed a horse at 8/1, gets backed off the wall to 3/1 and doesn't place. Ahh well! Today has more quality than quantity but we have picked out a few worth a small wager, but small stakes advised! The feature race being the Irish Grand National. Good Luck all.
14.40 Yarmouth - Diplomatic @ 10/1 e/w
14.50 Warwick - Onewayoranother @ 12/1 e/w
15.00 Redcar - Zaplamation @ 10/3 WON
15.10 Yarmouth - Mumeyez @ 5/1 e/w
15.10 Fairyhouse - Sarabad @ 7/1 e/w
15.20 Warwick - Prodigality @ 11/4 WON
15.40 Yarmouth - The Noble Ord @ 11/1 e/w
16.00 Redcar - Fieldgunner Kirkup @ 3/1 WON
16.05 Plumpton - Lord Singer @ 8/1 e/w
16.10 Yarmouth - Smart Spender @ 4/1
16.20 Warwick - Icanboogie @ 14/1 e/w
16.50 Fairyhouse - Panther Claw @ 12/1 e/w Placed
16.50 Fairhouse - Jadanli @ 40/1 e/w
17.10 Yarmouth - The Ducking Stool @ 8/1 e/w WON
Mullins/Walsh Trixie:
14.40 Fairyhouse - Zaidpour
15.10 Fairyhouse - Sarabad
15.40 Fairyhouse - Tennis Cap
Doubles and the Treble:
14.05 Yarmouth - Munhamer
15.40 Fairyhouse - Tennis Cap
16.00 Redcar - Fieldgunner Kirkup
Lucky 15:
Fieldgunner Kirkup (Won), Prodigality (Won), Zaplamation (Won), Mumeyez
Returned £125 from a £1 stake.
Probably done too many today but can't do anything now! Good Luck all, remember these are just my bets!
THT
14.40 Yarmouth - Diplomatic @ 10/1 e/w
14.50 Warwick - Onewayoranother @ 12/1 e/w
15.00 Redcar - Zaplamation @ 10/3 WON
15.10 Yarmouth - Mumeyez @ 5/1 e/w
15.10 Fairyhouse - Sarabad @ 7/1 e/w
15.20 Warwick - Prodigality @ 11/4 WON
15.40 Yarmouth - The Noble Ord @ 11/1 e/w
16.00 Redcar - Fieldgunner Kirkup @ 3/1 WON
16.05 Plumpton - Lord Singer @ 8/1 e/w
16.10 Yarmouth - Smart Spender @ 4/1
16.20 Warwick - Icanboogie @ 14/1 e/w
16.50 Fairyhouse - Panther Claw @ 12/1 e/w Placed
16.50 Fairhouse - Jadanli @ 40/1 e/w
17.10 Yarmouth - The Ducking Stool @ 8/1 e/w WON
Mullins/Walsh Trixie:
14.40 Fairyhouse - Zaidpour
15.10 Fairyhouse - Sarabad
15.40 Fairyhouse - Tennis Cap
Doubles and the Treble:
14.05 Yarmouth - Munhamer
15.40 Fairyhouse - Tennis Cap
16.00 Redcar - Fieldgunner Kirkup
Lucky 15:
Fieldgunner Kirkup (Won), Prodigality (Won), Zaplamation (Won), Mumeyez
Returned £125 from a £1 stake.
Probably done too many today but can't do anything now! Good Luck all, remember these are just my bets!
THT
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