Monday 15 April 2013

Monday 15th April

Morning all, not too many we like today but quite confident that all of these are overpriced and will be shorter at the off, maybe with the exception of our 25/1 e/w fancy. Get on now, good luck.


Single:

Newcastle 6.00 - Harare @ 25/1 - The veteran makes his comeback in a weak race on a winning mark and looks a massive price, defeinitely worth a a small e/w stake as he won't just be here to make up the numbers.

Lucky 15:

Windsor 2.50 - My Son Max @ 4/1 - Heavily backed when returning to winning ways last time after a string of consistent performances since being dropped to the minimum trip. Sure to go well again on turf as he is on a 2lb lower mark than last race and the useful Robert Tart claim only aids his cause, looks likely to go off favourite, and rightly so, hard to beat.

Redcar 3.40 - Azrael @ 4/1 - Azrael is an admirably consistent performer that always runs his race and was a deserved winner last time at Yarmouth when he made all the running. Despite a penalty he remains well-treated on his best form and looks to have a great chance in today's race despite a big gamble on the likely favourite Destiny Blue.

Windsor 4.50 - Shamir @ 10/1 - This looks a big price and money is coming, he is already 7's or 8's in some places, but 10/1 widely available at time of writing. He runs in high quality races on the all-weather and a fantastic effort last time makes the price look very appealing as he runs off a 14lb lower mark today back on turf which is a massive difference. While he may be better suited on the A/W, he will go very close today and will go off at half this price imo.

Windsor 5.20 - Bernisdale @ 4/1 - Bernisdale ran a great race when eased inside the final furlong under returning jockey Jamie Spencer. He got going too late over a sharper trip last time, staying on strongly close home. He is a C and D winner, winning twice here last year and looks to have a great chance today. The jockey has a 67% strike rate when riding for John Flint and despite Burnham being a big danger, our fancy is sure to be there at the business end.



Single:

Harare @ 25/1 e/w


Lucky 15:

Bernisdale, My Son Max, Azrael, Shamir.

Returns £2850 for a £1 win stake.


Good Luck all.

THT


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